Came into the office this morning and on the way in, I tuned in, as I always do to The Ticket. Caught a segment of Norm Hitzges dissecting last night’s Rangers loss. Norm, as always, had some very interesting observations about strategy in the 7-5 loss to Baltimore last night. Now, let me say this that Norm Hitzges and Bob Sturm (whom we share custody of with The Ticket) are the two most thorough, well-informed talk show hosts in this town. Norm researches EVERYTHING.
He made three points about strategy. One had to do with Hank Blalock facing George Sherrill in the 10th inning last night. Another had to do with the Rangers holding a runner at first base with two outs and a full count in the ninth. And the final point was about Ian Kinsler’s attempted steal of second in the first inning. The arguments were well-researched, well-constructed and agreed to by producer Mike Bascik, the best former big league left-handed reliever producing a talk show in any city.
And by the end of the discussion, I nearly steered right off Lemmon Avenue into Buzz Brews. Here’s why:
1. Hitzges thought the Rangers hould have pinch hit for DH Hank Blalock in the 10th with the tying runs on base. His reasoning: Blalock, a left-handed hitter, was facing LHP George Sherill, against whom he’s had very little success (1-for-8). The Rangers had two right-handed hitters on the bench in Marlon Byrd and Andruw Jones. Hitzges pointed out, that in addition to Blalock’s struggle against Sherrill and lefties in general, Sherrill had held left-handed hitters to a .190 average last season. All fair points. What went unmentioned is this: Blalock was the Rangers’ cleanup hitter. The cleanup hitter is in the game to drive in runs. With the game on the line and two runners on base, you could want no situation more than having the cleanup hitter up. If you have that little confidence as to pinch hit for your cleanup hitter, then your lineup is pretty poorly constructed in the first place. Sometimes, you’ve got to have confidence in the players on the field. Blalock was hitting fourth for a reason.
2. Holding the runner on. Fair point. Though nobody can be certain if the Rangers instructed Chris Davis to hold the runner on base or if he simply slipped up and forgot the situation. If the Rangers instructed Davis to hold the runner, that’s not smart, but also if he stays close to the bag, he can guard the line and play “no doubles” defense. The Rangers didn’t guard the lines against Detroit over the weekend and it hurt them when a double snuck past third base with Michael Young playing straight up defense.
3. Kinsler’s failed stolen base attempt in front of a Michael Young homer. Disagree. Yes, Kinsler was caught. Yes, it was unfortunate. But Kinsler had been successful on 50 of his 54 previous stolen base attempts. The Orioles had failed to throw out a runner stealing this season. Opponents have a 79 percent success rate against O’s C Gregg Zaun for his career. Of the 35 active catchers with at least 250 games played, Zaun’s caught stealing percentage ranks 30th of 35. Also, not to mention, Young is much more likely to single than he is to homer. And if Kinsler is in scoring position he probably scores on a single. He doesn’t score from first on a single, maybe not even on a double.
What do you think, should Norm and I square off in a steel cage? Where do you come down on those moves or the lack of them?
How often do you see a leadoff hitter in the first inning steal second on the very first pitch after he gets to first base? That’s my problem with Kinsler. Shouldn’t he wait a couple pitches to get the pitcher’s move and timing down? I bet that’s normal procedure and had he done that, we win 4-3.
Norm does his research, obviously, but he absolutely drives me insane. He gets too involved in the numbers sometimes. Last week he was wondering why Carbona pitched the 2nd game of the Indians season instead of the third because he’s such a better pitcher during the day based on the numbers. I guess he didn’t understand that it was the second game of the season and you pitch your number 2 pitcher there no matter what.
Although I do agree about pinch hitting for Blalock. I don’t understand why Jones wasn’t taking that at bat. When AJ plays he bats cleanup, so it’s not like you’re taking out your cleanup hitter for a 7th or 8th hitter like Byrd. Just thought it would have made more sense to have the righty-lefty matcup there with Jones.
what if their lineup is poorly constructed?
I am a baseball r-tard but I think it is.
I agree with you, evan. I like the aggresive baserunning by ian. Michael’s home run just happened. Now, I support it a little more when there are 1 or 2 outs but you can’t blame the guy for being aggresive
can’t see how to edit my post, so:
And why do they have to always rely on unwritten rule type things when their gut and the numbers tell them they shouldn’t?
Like not pinch hitting for a guy just because he’s batting clean up, and not yanking CJ after he gives up one run because you want to show him you believe in him.
IDK.
They’ve got to stop worrying about how the players’ psyche will be affected and sit players who need to sit.
I often agree with Norm, but when I disagree with him it is usually so frustrating that I feel like gouging my eyeballs out. So I know sort of how you felt.
Nice article. Agree with your points except for pinch hitting for HB. AJ should have had a go. You’ve got a typo in the first sentence of #1 btw. “hould” should be “should.”
cheers,
D
The way Kinsler runs the bases, he wouldn’t have scored on Young’s HR
I wondered why Jones wasn’t in for Blalock…..righty on lefty…isn’t that what we talked about doing before the season with Jones? Did everyone get amnesia? Blalock on righty and Jones on lefty DH?
We’re just playing like the game plays us rather than us playing the game…..we’re not leading anything and it doesn’t look like there is that winning lust in our dugout….even when we are aggressive it seems like the wrong moment….Did we trade someone after the playoff year that has started this curse?
On the Kinsler steal – I agree with all of those reasons while the steal is good. My problem, which may be due to hindsight, is that Kinsler went on the very first pitch. He didn’t even see one pitch in order to judge his lead. Unless Simon totally ignored him, I just don’t see the wisdom in going when he did.
It’s hard to fault aggressiveness, and Kinsler’s history and instincts are pretty darn good when it comes to swiping a bag. Even Young getting thrown out at the plate last night, I don’t fault the base coach on waving him in. It took two perfect throws, and even in the show that doesn’t always happen. I am guessing that play had more to do with Young’s secondary lead and jump, I thought for sure (even with perfect relays) he could score on that.
Besides the obvious pitching issue, the thing that drives me nuts about this team is their inability to put their foot on the opposing teams throat when they have a lead. If they chase a starter early, it is almost guaranteed some long reliever is coming in and shutting them down (latest example Sarafate). They seem to lose focus pretty darn easy, and quality of at bats sink. That’s OK if you have a shutdown staff that can hold the lead, but these guys need to keep putting runs on the board, because the opposing team is never out of the game.
Disagree with you on number one – Blalock is not the cleanup hitter; he’s the clean-up hitter against righties, which isn’t quite the same thing.
I agree with several posts that Kinsler should have waited a couple of pitches for timing purposes. I also think the staff should have informed the team that they were facing a rookie pitcher who had been prone to the longball in his last start. Meaning be patient at the plate and on the bases because our lineup will get to him. I don’t care what spot in the order HB is hitting the guy cannot hit left handed pitching better the Marlon Byrd or Andruw Jones. The point of the game is to win not try and make your cleanup hitter feel good about himself by leaving him in against a guy that he has failed against time and time again.
I agree with Norm about pinch hitting for Blalock. While I was watching the game last night I said out loud to no one in particular, “Why isn’t Jones batting in this situation?”
And if those three points made you almost drive off the road, maybe you should higher a driving service. Or at least warn people your on the road.
I strongly disagree with point #1, Evan. To me, this underscores the why Ron Washington is a detriment to this team winning. First, Blalock is not this team’s cleanup hitter; he is the team’s cleanup hitter against right-handed pitchers. Ron Washington chooses to play Andruw Jones against LHP and Blalock against RHP presumably because he recognizes that Blalock is not as good of a hitter against LHP as Jones.
Further, Blalock is playing the role of a cleanup hitter only because Ron Washington decided as much. Washington has shown a preference for veterans over young players, often regardless of talent, when constructing lineups. I’m willing to accept this as a measure to lessen stress and ease younger players into the major league lineup.
But that element isn’t even at issue here. Jones and Byrd are both veteran hitters with experience batting in the middle of the order. Jones is the team’s other cleanup hitter (along with Blalock and Cruz) and was waiting on the bench. Byrd has hit cleanup under Ron Washington with some frequency in the past and is a very good hitter against LHP.
Again, all I see is a statistically imprudent decision based upon the questionable principle that a manager shouldn’t pinch hit for a cleanup hitter. But of course not every team has a platoon situation in the cleanup role, so I don’t see how this applies here.
Evan, your point on Blalock is nonsensical. Why does Andruw Jones only play once a week and yet hit cleanup when he plays (against lefties)? why is Blalock good enough to hit cleanup against righties but not good enough to be in the lineup against some lefties?
Why did this team go round and round before adding Andruw Jones to the roster?
Because of MATCHUPS. Because the lineup has several lefties in it that struggle mightily against lefties.
Blalock is THE cleanup hitter, as in, for us, not A cleanup hitter, as in the hitter that deserves to hit cleanup or someone who would hit cleanup for many other teams (if any).
Here’s an even better managerial question: What the hell is David Murphy doing hitting against a lefty closer in the bottom of the 9th if a tie game???????
MikeinEuless said it perfectly, Blalock isn’t our everyday cleanup hitter, like a Ryan Howard or ARod, for instance. He is our cleanup hitter when there is a rightie pitching that night. Sure, Blalock hits 4th for a reason, but doesn’t he sit against lefties also for a reason? If you have that little confidence in him to play him every day, isn’t that the same thing as sitting him in lieu of a pinch hitter? You also kept AJ and Bryd on the roster so you had 2 good run producing right-handed hitters to use at your discretion, and when there is a stud leftie on the mound, I can’t think of a better situation to put them in there to see what they can do.
Regardless, we love you Evan, thanks for all the hard work bud.
Like the other above have said…my problem with Kinsler’s attempted steal in the first inning was that he did it on the very first pitch. He should have, IMO, watched a couple of pitches and got the pitchers move to the plate down and then attempted the steal since he had never once seen the pitcher before.
I disagree with you on pinch hitting for Blalock. Our lineup is at times, especially when he is in the four hole, poorly constructed. Just because he is in the cleanup spot doesn’t make him immune to be pinch hit for.
You don’t pinch hit for Justin Morneau, Ryan Howard, Adrian Gonzalez, or Prince Fielder when they stand in to face a lefty in a tight game with men on.
You do pinch hit for Russell Branyan, Aubrey Huff, Conner Jackson, or any other Blalock type lefty in that situation.
I think Blalock should’ve taken that pitch in the 10th to left field instead of trying to pull it.
Fire Wash!
I have a much bigger problem with Kinsler not going to 3rd in the 9th on Monday, than him trying to steal 2nd in the 1st last night. His blunder on Monday was unacceptable for a big leaguer. Getting thrown out last night was just an aggressive play that didn’t work out.
Hi Evan. I don’t know. But what is Tom Hicks doing today?
In blalock’s defense…he gave that ball a ride and it just came up short…Off the bat I thought it was out…The Rangers have hit a couple of potential game winners to the Track recently
You guys wanted to pinch hit for Hank. He came withing about 5 feet of tying the game. I know he didn’t, but he just missed a pitch. I love Josh Hamilton, but he was more of a problem last night. They are throwing him junk on the first pitch that’s not anywhere near the zone, and he’s swinging at it. He’s got to learn to lay off that 1st pitch when it’s diving into the dirt. The little cue shot he hit to 3rd was almost a double play. Like I say, Josh Hamilton is probably my favorite Ranger, but he’s got to do better late in the game with runners on base…….
Evan-
Key question: Was Kinsler running on his own, or was he given the steal sign? If he was running on his own, is he one of the rare players who is given the green light to run if he sees fit?
@Fred: Kinsler has the green light unless there is a stop put on. There was no stop on yesterday. He just got a bad jump and probably should have just stopped short and headed back to first.
I think you’re Pedroia’d here, Evan. If he isn’t your cleanup hitter against Andy Pettitt, why should he be your cleanup hitter in a game started by a righty which is now on the line against a lefty closer?
Although a strong P1, I have to change the station when I disagree with Norm. He’s way too stubborn and can’t admit it when someone shoots one of his arguments down.
Anyway, I do agree with Norm on #1, especially considering how well Jones has played to date. I’ll take Evan at #3 and call #2 a draw…
And this is why this site is my first Ranger info stop of every day. Not only great articles, but well-thought comments by the readers without the sniping – even without the dreaded “word verification”. Man, I hope that the cordiality continues.
Evan? I love you, man, but Byrd or Jones should have hit for Hank.
Great… I am streaming the Ticket Top 10 and guess what segment just came on? Hello, Hitzges.
Baseball may be a talking sport, but the rangers are not a talking franchise. How can you do this for another 150 games? It’s like talking NFL in puerto RICO….. We don’t really have a dog in the fight.