Well, one week from today, I will be writing my first post-game summary of the season, and we will be making huge generalizations about the 2009 season based on what we saw on Sunday in Tampa. But, with 6 days until “go time”, we can still wonder what will be in that present we haven’t opened yet. Will the Cowboys be good enough in 2009? Will they have enough to compete with their division rivals, who many claim is the toughest division in football (don’t tell the AFC South and NFC North)? The truth will be told in very short order. Soon, I will look at the division rivals, but today, let’s scattershoot about this thing with a week to go:
* First, let’s get something straight about what I believe regarding the NFL. I believe that many teams have “good starters”. I believe what seperates the good from the bad in this league is your depth. It is your only chance to enter a 16 game meat grinder and emerge from the other side intact. This team’s single biggest weakness is its depth. It has very, very little. I think people get tired of me saying it, but I cannot tell a lie. I believe the ultimate un-doing of the season is going to be the very poor drafting for the last 4 drafts coming home to roost. Specifically, injuries to the OL, DL, LB, or DB will be devastating. You must draft with effectiveness, and you could make the case that the Cowboys have failed. For instance, a draft 4 seasons removed, like the 2006 draft should have yielded 3-4 starters to be great, or at least 2 to be solid. The Cowboys have exactly 0 starters from that draft. And, 2007, may hinge completely on Anthony Spencer proving he is the real deal and Doug Free proving he can enter a game and not get embarrassed.
Again, my concern is the depth of this team – and it is scary in a shallow sort of way. It might not be seen in September or October, but as the march continues, and soldiers get wounded, the reserves become starters. Then, we truly see how prepared your team is for a 16-20 game season. By the way, if this is true, and if your September is based on about your first 30 players, October on your first 35, November on your first 40, and December on your 45, would that explain the falling off of the team’s performance around the holidays? Just a quick theory to ponder. No depth equals trouble when injuries happen. And they always do.
* Why does the NFL have a 4th week of the preseason? I understand Romo or Favre sitting the game out, but when Gerald Sensabaugh doesn’t even wear shoulder pads (and he has eyeglasses on) and Bradie James has a cell phone on his hip – shouldn’t we reconsider how things are done in this league? Neither team played any starters? How can the NFL allow this nonsense? Talk about not paying any attention to your customers!
* One thing I wanted to get a handle on in camp was to evaluate the play of the two tackles who are one snap from being in the game. OT Doug Free (4th round ’07) and OT Pat McQuistan (7th round ’06) could both be called into duty. And because OT James Marten (3rd round ’07) and Jacob Rogers (2nd round ’04) are washed out of the organization completely, Free and McQ have to be able to play if Colombo or Adams ever get hurt. So here is what I have on them: Free looks like he can move better than McQ, but he also looks a bit weaker. So, you have Free who can get to the corner but can be pushed back, and McQ who can not get to the corner, but can drop anchor a bit better. Either way, I don’t think either guy is a long-term solution at tackle.
* Interesting and disconcerting to see Isaiah Stanback claimed by New England for many Cowboys fans, I am sure. But I think the Cowboys made an easy choice. 3 years is a lifetime in pro football, and Stanback had plenty of time to show he deserved a spot. Projects are part of the NFL, but at some point he has got to show you something. If the Patriots think he is a QB, then I wish them the best. He might be, but he is not a WR/KR/QB triple threat like the scouts here thought. Another wasted pick (#103 in 2007) that will further cost this team. You see, if you are taking a flyer on a player, you might do it much later on in the draft. But, when you do it near the top 100 picks, you really deplete your resources if you are wrong. And they were dead wrong on Stanback. The New York Giants next two picks after Stanback? LB Zak DeOssie and TE Kevin Boss. Two significant contributers to the Giants.
* It is time. You open against a team that doesn’t know who its QB should be, fired its OC last week, and is rolling with a coach who has never been anything above a DB coach in the NFL. To say the Cowboys must win a game like this is an extreme understatement. It would be a very bad sign not to take apart the Bucs on Sunday. I see Vegas has the Cowboys as a 5 1/2 point favorite.
Well said. The scouts may find the players but ultimately Jerry picks them. He bears responsibility. You can have the best or worst coach and it doesn’t matter–it’s about Depth
Good stuff, Big Bob.
When will the owner fire the GM?
Yes peeseason sucks but man can we give some love for Fridays game. Two returns for touchdowns blocked punt and a crazy never seen anything like it punt return for 7. I would be lying if I didn’t say I have my friend a high five. Great blog Bob!
Let’s look at the first 5 picks of last years class. Felix, Jenkins, Martellus, Choice, Scandrick. Basically 5 starter quality players out of 6 picks. What team has a higher percentage of quality picks from last year?
If bad drafts were a trend, I would understand your point. However, overall I would say the percentage of good picks vs. bad picks falls right in line with the rest of the league.
I don’t disagree with some of what you say, but to say Jerry and his drafting is the sole reason for the woes of the team is a bit much. I would look more in the direction of the coaching staff.
this year I say 10-6 and one win in the playoffs…
“By the way, if this is true, and if your September is based on about your first 30 players, October on your first 35, November on your first 40, and December on your 45, would that explain the falling off of the team’s performance around the holidays? Just a quick theory to ponder. No depth equals trouble when injuries happen. And they always do.”
Exactly – One could even go as far as to say that has a lot to do with the often weak and conservative ways we have approached late season games the last few years.
I think it is time to question the strategy of trading down for more picks. What is the point of having a bunch of 5,6,7 round picks if they can’t make the team?
Good stuff Sports Sturm. I do have to take issue with your point about the fourth preseason game. In your first point, you talk about how important depth is. Well, isn’t the point of that last preseason game to establish a team’s depth? I agree it’s a boring game and it’s not too fun to watch. But isn’t it worth it to see some backups play an entire game and see if they have the ability to step in if needed?
The 2009 draft can already be deemed worthless. They just wasted their time in April messing with it.
dstrohl,
I think the danger is looking at 2008 being evidence of a trend rather than an exception.
The (very early) indications of the 2009 draft is this team has returned it’s poor drafting ways.
The team almost has it backwards. They actually do a decent job of hitting on quality players on the crapshoot of day 2 (Barber, James, Scandrick, Raftliff, Crayton)
But they are absolutely horrible at consistently drafting quality on day one. And that’s where teams HAVE to be consistent to have quality depth. For their effort there is one star (Ware), several underachievers (Spears, Hatcher) and a fistful of busts (Carpenter, Marten, Hatcher, etc). If the front office could have just hit on 50% of their first day picks as solid players -they’d be fine.
@dstrohl – the 2008 draft looks good. But, let’s hold on a bit to see what they have in year 2. I mean really, Jenkins was poor last year, Felix played 6 games. And, Marty had 20 catches. They looked good, but I don’t think we can claim success yet. The 2005 draft looked great 12 months later with Spears and Burnett looking like bright future stars…but….
@El Cassidy – I am not saying the teams have it wrong. But for the league to charge full prices to see a JV game is criminal. What would be wrong with making the game free or close to free for the fans who would never get to go to a real game. They could fill the place, and it would include many who love your team.
“I am not saying the teams have it wrong. But for the league to charge full prices to see a JV game is criminal. What would be wrong with making the game free or close to free for the fans who would never get to go to a real game. They could fill the place, and it would include many who love your team.”
Yeah, I would pay a bit to go and have the experience. Probably spend some money at the over-priced concession stands. No way would I ever consider paying full regular season price for a practice game. I’d rather give the money to a charity.
I’ve only been a Cowboys fan since the 1960′s when I was just a kid. Never been to a game live. I might like to, but I don’t embrace the idea of spending the equivalent of a mortgage payment on one day’s experience. Especially since we talkin’ about practice – not a game. At least not a real one.
I’m not optimistic about this season, and it kind of bums me out. I hope they surprise me, but I see no better than a third place finish in the East – and maybe last.