Folks, sorry for the lack of action from Mission Control here, but internet woes made my home office a swirling cauldron of nothingness last night. Hopefully once game time rolls around, things will be much better here. In the meantime, here are a few sips and bites to whet your appetite:
• Kevin Millwood wins $12 million prize: Millwood locked in his contract option last night. A number of Cornerians wondered why the Rangers would have started him again after six horrible weeks and risk allowing him to reach the 180-inning threshold for securing the 2010 option. The biggest concern had to be the potential grievance that surely would have been filed on his behalf by the Players Association. Perhaps, had the Rangers decided immediately after Millwood’s 3.2 inning outing against Seattle that he had no future with the club, the team could have released him and stood a chance to win such a case. But after the team decided to overhaul his delivery and announced he’d get another start, any chance at winning the case went out the window.
There are other things to consider. Millwood is now 11-10 with a 3.79 ERA and will likely finish the year with 190 or more innings and a sub-4.00 ERA. There are decades, like the one we are currently finishing out, where the Rangers would gladly pay $12 million for that kind of production. Since Rangers Ballpark opened in 1994, there have been four occasions where a Ranger has pitched at least 180 innings and compiled a sub 4.00 ERA; Kenny Rogers did it three times and Ken Hill did it once. Point: Millwood’s season still can’t be taken lightly even with the poor finish.
But don’t rule out the possibility the cash-strapped club might try to deal him in the offseason to save a little cash, especially if they have any dreams of re-signing Marlon Byrd.
• Hitting instructor Rudy Jaramillo will complete his 15th season as the team’s hitting instructor in two weeks. And now there is speculation whether it will be his last. A two-year contract he negotiated directly with Tom Hicks that made him the highest paid hitting coach in baseball expires Oct. 4. The Rangers are strapped for cash. And the offensive production this season has been well below Rangers standards.
Nevertheless, getting rid of Jaramillo would be a huge mistake.
For one, there are the results. I know the Rangers have always been a free-swinging team, but Jaramillo has gotten the most production possible out of a lot of free swingers. To throw away a well-respected coach after one poor season would just seem rash.
Chris Davis made some comments earlier this year that he didn’t get a chance to develop a real rapport with Jaramillo and somehow there is chatter Jaramillo doesn’t work well with young players. Hogwash. For example, lots of young players see their averages dip in the second half of the year as pitchers make adjustments to them and as their bodies fatigue. But hasn’t Elvis Andrus improved over the course of the season. Didn’t David Murphy rescue himself from a terrible start to the season. You can’t simply blame Jaramillo for Davis’ poor start or Ian Kinsler’s inability to make adjustments and not take into account the success stories from this season.
I maintain that because their own pitching was better this season, the Rangers saw more quality pitches from opponents in close games. Because of that, maybe some weaknesses in the hitting game were exposed. But just like the attention to defense didn’t produce great results overnight, a focus on quality at-bats, underscored by this season’s failures, might help next year’s club be better equipped for the task. It also wouldn’t hurt to have a legitimate right-handed power bat for the middle of the lineup. And it’s probably not to much to ask for 125 games from Josh Hamilton. That, more than hiring some other hitting instructor, will make an impact.
By no stretch am I saying Jaramillo doesn’t deserve some blame for this year’s poor offense. He does. But he doesn’t deserve the axe.
• Know who leads all Major League relievers in ERA this season among guys with at least 50 innings? No, it’s not Mariano Rivera (1.94) who some have discussed as a Cy Young candidate. Rivera did hold the lead until blowing a save last Friday. Now, he’s seventh. And the leader? It’s Darren O’Day, Rangers mid-April waiver pick-up. He’s at 1.65. When talking about the pitching breakthroughs this season, most fans talk about Scott Feldman, Tommy Hunter, Neftali Feliz or the high-points to Derek Holland’s inconsistent year. O’Day rarely enters the conversation. But he most definitively belongs in it. He’s been a huge find for the bullpen.
90 would be nice. Who can help?
I’d keep Jaramillo and take Milton Bradley off the Cubs hands at a cheap price. That would fill the DH hole quite nicely.
What guarantee does anybody has that the club would have spend the 12MM Millwood got last night and signing anybody. At least we have an experience arm for next year. However I’d like to see Millwood get in better shape or next year to carry 30 extra pound at his age is not easy.
@Ranger_ve: You make a good point regarding bringing Millwood back. Even if the club had opted to let him walk away, there is no guarantee they will have one red cent of that money to use on free agency. This way, at least the Rangers do have an experienced arm, who, at times, has been quite good, at their disposal for 2010.
@EvanGrant: Evan do you think Millwood was overused this year?. The more I look at his numbers (pitches thrown and innings pitched) the more I think he was not.
He’s still got 11 wins with a 3.79 ERA, mind you. It’s not like he’s an awful pitcher. I think people are letting a bad streak cloud their vision. You can speculate about whether he’ll ever be as good as 2/3rds of this year, but it’s just speculation. What we do have concretely is a (somewhat expensive) pretty good pitcher stat-wise this year.
There’s a portion of the fan base that’s always going to be anti-Millwood, and I think a lot of it has to do with what I call the Rick Helling Syndrome, that obsession Ranger fans have with piling on whoever gets dubbed the “Ace” for not being Roy Halliday. No, we haven’t gotten 60 million dollars worth of quality pitching out of him, but this season his 11-10 record is a lot more about the offense than his pitching, and he’s still only had 13 non-quality starts all year. The fact that those were clustered at the moment when he was expected to step up totally sucks, but doesn’t make him Chan Ho Park by any stretch of the imagination.
i had been clamoring since his 4th straight awful start that it may be in his and the teams best interest if they skipped a start and let him recharge the battery. who knows if it would have produced the results we saw yesterday back then, but i feel it would have helped. A Millwood with an ERA of 5 is much better than a Millwood with an ERA of 7…
Evan: A consistent offense revolves around OBP and not SLG. I expect Rudy to not be back next year. Ron wants a team that works counts and gets on base. With this season behind him, expect Wash to lobby JD for someone of his choosing.
I wonder what we can get out of him next year. He got deadarm right around 2700 pitches this year.
Millwood is an innings eater when he’s healthy. With a 3.79 ERA he also is usually in the position of giving the team a chance to win. His record probably would have been a lot better this year if this had been a normal offensive year for the Rangers (and no, I’m not advocating firing Rudy for that) – guessing maybe 3-4 more wins? So instead of 11-10, maybe 15-6. THAT is a $12M pitcher, and we wouldn’t be having this conversation.
Well this is not the first time Rudy has come under fire, I don’t think he is going anywhere, the players like him and management like homeruns.
Millwood’s not an ace anymore, but innings-eating guys like him are an important part of a rotation. A lot was learned about the Rangers’ young pitchers this season, but you can’t go into next year knowing for sure what we’ve got after Feldman and Hunter The others are still ‘ifs’ until they can put it all together for the long season. Millwood can be a solid #3 starter. Keep him.
@Bobby: I completely agree Millwood is an experienced arm and we need him, but he is not your number one starter anymore. Who is? Time will tell.
@Ranger_ve: He was not overused. He will end up with either 30 or 31 starts. A full season would be 32 or 33. He was used just as any fully healthy member of the rotation would be used.
@rob m: A couple of things here. What hitting coach wouldn’t want hitters to work count, get on base and have high OBP and slugging percentages. But you can’t make every hitter or player adjust to you. The best coaches adjust to hitters. Jaramillo has never tried to get hitters to change the swings they are comfortable with, only tried to get them to best understand the mechanics involved.
Does he not get the message across about OBP effectively enough? Perhaps. That could be his weakness as an instructor. But there is no perfect coach. For 15 years, he’s been pretty good and gotten a lot out of a lot of players.
Second: Ron Washington wasn’t successful at lobbying for coaches of his choosing last offseason. I don’t expect that he will make significant progress on that front this winter, either. If Washington had chosen the pitching coach on his own, it likely would have been Rick Peterson rather than Mike Maddux.
The sabermetricians say that Millwood was not any better the first half than last year and was getting by on luck due to a high strand rate among other things. He was due to revert back to form. I doubted that when he had a 3.30 ERA but they sure turned out to be right.
Ranger fans aren’t big on sabermetrics but they called that one.
@Evan: thanks for pointing the spotlight in Darren O’Day’s direction! I’ve been watching O’Day’s quiet effectiveness since about July. He doesn’t throw 101 mph like Feliz, he’s not outspoken like C.J., and he doesn’t come from an MLB pedigree like Grilli. He just goes out there and takes care of business. He’s one of the few relievers that the Rangers have that has NOT have some sort of meltdown on the mound this season, and I really appreciate his consistency. I just wish Ron would consider leaving him in longer, instead of always yanking him out after about an inning. And I hope we can keep him for next year!
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@aggiekatiebeth: There are players and pitchers whom you are tempted to use more often, but when you do you don’t necessarily get more out of them. I think the way the Rangers have used O’Day this season has been just about the perfect balance.
the point could be made that this is the youngest team that Jaramillo has ever had to work with. It may take an extra year for what Rudy is teaching to sink in. His record with straightening out veteran hitters is pretty good but his approach may need either more time or a more experienced pupil to get the full effect.
I have no problem with Millwood getting his $12 million. I only have a problem with thinking he is the ace of a playoff rotation.
Evan, one thing you don’t address is the length of Rudy’s tenure – 15 years. Yes, he’s been here a lot of years because of his effectiveness. But at what point does the message become stale? Even a genius like Dave Duncan has changed teams over the past couple of decades. It’s virtually unheard of these days for any coach to stay in one place 15-20 years.
Of course, the players like Rudy and will say they want him back. But what’s that old saying, players may know what they want, but they don’t always know what they need.
Rudy has no clue how to teach small ball at the plate. It showed this season, and thats why he will be gone.
Evan,
What is O’Day’s contract status?